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  • Writer's picturefxmethods

WEDNESDAY USDINR & GLOBAL OUTLOOK :- RUPEE WEAK, ALL EYES ON FOMC, CABLE TUMBLE!!

USDINR

On Wednesday, we are expecting intraday USDINR will trade in range-bound ahead of the USA Federal Reserve interest rate decision tonight, Opening likely to be in the range of 78.05 – 78.15 levels. High global energy and raw material prices combined with a weak rupee fuelled the fastest annual rise in India's wholesale prices in more than 30 years, raising expectations for the central bank to order more interest rate hikes.

  • May WPI fuel inflation up 40.62% y/y vs 38.66% in April

  • May WPI food inflation up 10.89% y/y vs 8.88% in April

  • Economists see the central bank raising the key rate in August

THE MARKET EXPECTATION FROM FOMC

There is a nearly 90% expectation for a 75-basis-point increase at the conclusion of a two-day meeting of the U.S. central bank's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on Wednesday.


THE CABLE

Sterling fell 1.289% to $1.1977, its first dip below the $1.20 level since March 2020, after Scotland's First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said she was set to share details on plans for a new independence referendum. British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his Conservative Party, which is the opposition party in Scotland, are strongly against a referendum.


THE OIL

On Wednesday, Oil prices dropped on worries over fuel demand ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting which is expected to see the central bank hike rates by at least 75 basis points to combat inflation.


USDINR TECHNICAL

Day Trend: - BUY ON DIP (Short Term)

Weekly Trend: - HOLD

INTRADAY RANGE – 78.21 (78.08 – 77.95) 77.82

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