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USDINR WEEKLY - 29TH JULY TO 02ND AUGUST 2019



WEEKLY RANGE – 68.40 (68.61 – 69.08 ) 69.26


POSITIVE ASPECT :-

  • OIL HOLD BELOW 50DMA & 200 DMA.

  • FED anticipation will be key.

  • Anticipation of RBI monetary stance.

CONCERN :-

  • India Share market sell off - FII running.

  • Yields getting bids near 6.40 levels.

  • Manufacturing weak performance.

  • Word bank lowering India growth.



Conclusion :-

  • On Import Aspect: - There is major probability for INR will appreciate , until hold 69.08/69.15 levels.

  • On Export Aspect: - Must cover every upside.

DERIVATIVES:-

INDIAN 10 YEAR BONDS:-

UPCOMING WEEK IMPORTANT GLOBAL ECONOMIC EVENTS:-

  • BoJ Monetary Policy Statement (30th July)

  • CHINA PMI (JULY)(31st July)

  • FED interest rate decision (31st July)

  • BoE interest rate decision (1st AUG)

  • USA NFPR & UNEMPLOYMENT (2nd AUG)

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