top of page
  • Writer's picturefxmethods

THURSDAY OUTLOOK- USDINR FIRM, OIL N GLOBAL ECONOMY!!

USDINR


On Thursday, The Domestic Unit (Rupee) moving southward likely to commence session between 74.25 – 74.35 levels as the dollar surged on one-year high, world’s largest reserve currency, seen as a safe-haven bet at times of market stress, has strengthened in recent days as investors instead focused on fears of a global slowdown, a rise in energy prices and higher U.S. Treasury yields.


  • On Wednesday, Indian bonds rose while the rupee weakened to its lowest level in a month, as expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve would soon start to unwind bond purchases gained momentum again and lifted the dollar. Indian shares fell, skidding further away from last week's record highs amid losses in private banking stocks, with growing economic uncertainty and U.S. inflation worries weighing on global sentiment.

OIL

Oil demand globally is recovering from the summer Delta variant spike faster than some observers had expected.

  • Many analysts and oil companies see global oil demand returning to the pre-crisis levels of 2019 as early as the start of next year, if not earlier, by the end of 2021

  • Analysts and members of OPEC expect the gas crisis to boost oil demand by up to 1 million BPD this winter.

GLOBAL

  • China Non-Manufacturing PMI above forecasts (52.7) in September: Actual (53.2)

  • Chinese Factory activity contracts first time since Feb 2020, AUD steady

  • China NBS Manufacturing PMI below forecasts (50.1) in September: Actual (49.6)

  • Reuters Poll: 'Natural' for global bond yields to rise from here

  • US Treasury yields near 15-week top amid anxious markets

  • Overbought RSI probes DXY bulls at yearly high



Day Trend: - BUY ON DIP (USDINR entered overbought zone)


INTRADAY RANGE – 74.50 (74.35 – 74.14) 73.96

Comments


bottom of page