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  • Writer's picturefxmethods

THE RECESSION EMERGE !!


On Thursday , Asian shares braced for more volatility as eye-catching easing by central banks stoked fears of global recession, driving U.S. yields to near-record lows and lifting gold past $1,500 for the first time since 2013.

  • Early Thursday, Asian share markets were wobbly, as investors tried to find their footing after enduring a string of heavy losses.

  • There was much relief that Wall Street had managed a late come back overnight, so that the Dow ended with a loss of just 0.09% having been down 500 points at one stage.

  • Ten-year yields dropped further below three-month rates, an inversion that has reliably predicted recessions in the past.

  • The latest spasm began when central banks in New Zealand, India and Thailand surprised markets with aggressive easing, while the Philippines is expected to cut later Thursday.

  • Chicago Fed President Charles Evans signaled on Wednesday he was open to lowering rates to bolster inflation and to counter risks to economic growth from trade tensions.

  • Dire data on German industrial output stoked concerns Europe might already be in recession and pushed bund yields deeper into negative territory.

  • All of which fueled speculation that the major central banks would also have to take drastic action, if only to prevent an export-crimping rise in their currencies.

  • The Bank of Japan would be under particular pressure as its yen has gained sharply from the flood to safe havens, leaving it at 106.10 per dollar from 109.30 just a week ago.

  • The euro has also bounced to $1.1210, from a two-year trough of $1.1025.

  • The U.S. dollar index has backtracked to 97.595, from a recent peak of 98.932.

  • The kiwi was huddled at $0.6447 having shed 1.3% for the week so far.

  • Oil prices were attempting a recovery as talk that Saudi Arabia was mulling options to halt crude’s descent helped offset a build in stockpiles and fears of slowing demand.

  • Brent crude futures climbed $1.20 to $57.43, though that followed steep losses on Wednesday, while U.S. crude rose $1.23 to $52.32 a barrel.

  • Spot gold was last at $1,510 per ounce. The precious metal has surged 16% since May as the worsening Sino-U.S. trade dispute sparked a rush to safe havens.

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