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FRIDAY FOREX OUTLOOKS : - USDINR IN RANGE , KIWI FIRM , AUSTRIA UPSET WITH EU , OIL DOWN !!

USDINR

On Friday, We are expecting that USDINR commence session with firm note between 74.50 – 74.60 levels as greenback headed for its best weekly gain in about a month, supported by buying on investor worries about quicker U.S. interest rate increases and by rising virus infections.

  • The Reserve Bank of India said a gradual decline in India's second wave of COVID-19 infections and an aggressive vaccination push has brightened the near-term prospects for the economy.

  • The home ministry flagged the increase in the infective rate as a cause for concern in some states, urging officials nationwide to enforce social distancing and clamp down on overcrowding at tourist sites.

Day Trend: - BUY ON DIP.


INTRADAY RANGE – 74.69 ( 74.60 – 74.51 ) 74.42


KIWI

The kiwi was the biggest mover amongst majors in morning trade, and was last up 0.4% at $0.7003, after consumer prices rose far faster than expected at a decade-high pace of 1.3% for the June quarter and 3.3% for the year.

  • The reading has brought forward rate hike expectations to next month, with markets now pricing an 86% chance the Reserve Bank of New Zealand becomes the first developed-market central bank to exit from emergency policy settings.

AUSTRIA

Cash is occasionally a topic of political debate in Austria, where the far-right Freedom Party (FPO) has long called for the right to use cash to be inscribed in the constitution. Many restaurants and bars still do not accept card payments.

  • On Thursday, Austria reinforced its status as one of Europe's most cash-loving countries by saying it opposed a plan by the European Commission to cap cash payments at 10,000 euros.

OIL PRICE

Investor worries on OPEC+ will do for August production and the likely impact of the Covid Delta variant in the coming months on oil demand sent crude prices down hard for a second day.

  • The OPEC , Saudi Arabia and the UAE appeared to be near in on an agreement on August production. But the deal still needs to be ratified by the enlarged 23-nation OPEC+ alliance that groups the 13-member Saudi-led Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries with 10 assorted producers led by Russia.


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