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  • Writer's picturefxmethods

FOREX THURSDAY NEWSLETTER :- RUPEE FIRM, KIWI RALLY , YIELD SUBDUED , OIL CORRECTED , YEN UP !!

USDINR

On Thursday, The Domestic Unit (Rupee) likely to start session within range between 72.70-72.80 levels as Domestic equity market rally despite greenback found support from emerging views the Federal Reserve is slowly but surely edging towards a discussion about tightening monetary policy, and as traders await crucial U.S. inflation data this week.

  • Day Trend: - BEARISH BUT IN OVERSOLD TERRITORY.

INTRADAY RANGE – 72.56 (72.70 – 72.89) 73.05

NZDUSD

Greenback also clipped the wings of the kiwi and it bought $0.7275 after hints of a 2022 rate hike by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand pushed it as high as $0.7316.

  • The kiwi has given the most recent sign of life, and flight, by jumping 0.15% on Thursday after the central bank reinstated its rates outlook and projected rates rising from 0.25% currently to 0.49% by September 2022 and to 1.78% by June 2024.


USDJPY

The US Dollar and Japanese Yen may be the preferred choice for volatility-shocked investors who at the time may be prioritizing liquidity over returns. Recent bouts of extreme market turbulence - like in 2008 and 2020 – have seen JPY and USD rise against a basket of G10 and EM FX counterparts.


T- BOND

U.S. yields rose overnight, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield up 1.7 basis points to 1.5808%.


OIL

Oil was down in early Asia session, even as a bigger-than-expected draw in U.S. crude oil supplies gave the black liquid a boost.

  • Wednesday’s U.S. crude oil supply data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration showed a draw of 1.662 million barrels for the week to May 21. Forecasts prepared by Investing.com had predicted a 1.05-million-barrel draw, while a 426,000-barrel draw was recorded during the previous week.

  • Meanwhile, on-going COVID-19 outbreaks in several countries, including the world’s third-largest oil importer India, are putting a damper on the fuel demand outlook. Australia’s second-most populous state of Victoria will enter a one-week lockdown, starting later in the day, due to its latest outbreak.


ASIAN EQUITY MARKET

Asian shares retreated from two-week highs on Thursday and China started on the back-foot on fears central banks were closer to considering winding back their emergency stimulus while the dollar held at a one-week top.

  • Overnight, the Fed Vice Chair for supervision, Randal Quarles, suggested that at some stage it will become important for the Fed to discuss plans to tighten its asset purchase programme.


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