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  • Writer's picturefxmethods

ASIA SLIP , YIELDS RECOVER , GOLD SMASH HARD

MARKET

  • On Monday , Asian shares slipped as investors wagered on a less aggressive policy easing in the United States, while the Turkish lira held near two-week lows after the country’s president dismissed its central bank governor over the weekend.

  • Asian shares tracked Wall Street, which fell from record highs on Friday.

  • U.S. labor report that showed nonfarm payrolls jumped 224,000 in June, beating forecasts for 160,000, in a sign the world’s largest economy still had fire.

  • U.S. Treasuries sold off, sending yields on two-year notes about 10 basis points higher.

  • Expectations for a Fed rate cut also narrowed with the market now pricing a 27 basis points easing this month, from 33 basis points prior to payrolls.

  • Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is expected to provide further cues on the near-term outlook for monetary policy this week at his semi-annual testimony to the U.S. Congress on the economy.

  • The Fed in its semi-annual report to Congress on Friday repeated its pledge to “act as appropriate” to sustain economic growth.

  • President Tayyip Erdogan sacked Cetinkaya for refusing the government’s repeated demands for rate cuts, raising questions about central bank independence.

  • Geopolitics may be in focus this week following news on Sunday that Iran will boost its uranium enrichment, in breach of a cap set by a landmark 2015 nuclear deal.

  • White House Economic advisor Larry Kudlow confirmed top representatives from the United States and China will meet in the coming week to continue trade talks.


FOREX

  • Turkish lira which weakened to 5.8245 per dollar, the lowest since June 25 after Turkey’s central bank governor Murat Cetinkaya, whose four-year term was due to run until 2020, was replaced by his deputy Murat Uysal. The lira pared some of its losses to last hold near 5.7401.

  • The dollar index eased from a 2-1/2 week top of 97.443 to last quote at 97.251.

  • The euro was flat at $1.1222, not far from a 2-1/2-week low of $1.1205 touched on Friday.

  • The Australian dollar which has been on an uptrend since June 18, slipped below 70 U.S. cents to last trade at $0.6974.


COMMODITY

  • oil prices rose with Brent crude futures LCOc1, the international benchmark for oil prices, up 9 cents at $64.32 per barrel while U.S. crude added 8 cents to $57.59.

  • Spot gold fell 0.2% to $1,397.03 an ounce.

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